FX & Risk Management
Forward Contracts (Plain English)
Last updated: Aug 2025 • Education only, not financial advice.
Forward contracts let you lock today’s exchange rate for a currency trade you’ll settle later. They’re useful when you know you’ll pay or receive a foreign currency in the future and you don’t want the rate to move against you.
How a forward works
- Agree now: You and an FX provider agree on an amount, currency pair, rate, and settlement date.
- Optional deposit: Some providers ask for initial margin and may make margin calls if the market moves.
- Settle later: On the agreed date you exchange currencies at the locked rate—no surprises.
The “forward rate” reflects today’s spot rate plus/minus an interest-rate differential—so it isn’t a prediction, it’s math.
Simple example
You run a US business and must pay €100,000 in 90 days. EUR/USD is 1.1000 today. You book a forward to buy euros at 1.1000. If EUR/USD goes to 1.1600, you’re protected; if it drops to 1.0400, you give up that “gain” but you got certainty.
Pros & cons
Pros
- Rate certainty for budgets and invoices
- Flexible amounts & dates
- No ongoing mark-to-market if fully prepaid (varies by provider)
Cons
- May require margin and margin calls
- You miss favorable moves
- Early changes/cancellations can cost money
When to use a forward
- Known FX exposure in the next 30–180 days (payroll, invoices, rent)
- Quoted customers in a foreign currency and need to protect your margin
- Board/finance requires budget certainty over “best guess” rates
Practical playbook
- List upcoming foreign-currency payments by date and amount.
- Hedge the non-flexible portion (e.g., 70–90%); leave a buffer for changes.
- Choose settlement date windows that match your cash cycle.
- Confirm collateral/margin terms and what triggers a margin call.
- Document the trade ID and counterparty contact.
Alternatives to know
- Options: Pay a premium for downside protection with upside left open.
- Natural hedging: Match costs and revenues in the same currency.
- Spot + stablecoins: For very short horizons and small amounts (operational, not accounting).
Last updated: Aug 2025 • Education only, not financial advice.
